| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Jan 12 | 1.2 | Data tables, variables, and individuals |
| Wed, Jan 14 | 2.1.3 | Histograms & skew |
| Fri, Jan 16 | 2.1.5 | Boxplots |
Today we covered data tables, individuals, and variables. We also talked about the difference between categorical and quantitative variables.
In the data table in the example above, who or what are the individuals? What are the variables and which are quantitative and which are categorical?
If we want to compare states to see which are safer, why is it better to compare the rates instead of the total fatalities?
What is wrong with this student’s answer to the previous question?
Rates are better because they are more precise and easier to understand.
I like this incorrect answer because it is a perfect example of bullshit. This student doesn’t know the answer so they are trying to write something that sounds good and earns partial credit. Try to avoid writing bullshit. If you catch yourself writing B.S. on one of my quizzes or tests, then you can be sure that you a missing a really simple idea and you should see if you can figure out what it is.
We talked briefly about making bar charts for categorical data.
Then we introduced stem & leaf plots (stemplots) and histograms for quantitative data. We started by making a stemplot and a histogram for the weights of the students in the class. We also talked about how to tell if data is skewed left or skewed right.
Can you think of a distribution that is skewed left?
Why isn’t this bar graph from the book a histogram?
Then we did this workshop:
We finished by reviewing the mean and the median.
The median of numbers is located at position .
The median is not affected by skew, but the average is pulled in the direction of the skew. So the average will be bigger than the median when the data is skewed right, and smaller when the data is skewed left.
We introduced the five number summary and box-and-whisker plots (boxplots). We also talked about the interquartile range (IQR) and how to use the rule to determine if data is an outlier.
We started with this simple example:
An 8 man crew team actually includes 9 men, the 8 rowers and one coxswain. Suppose the weights (in pounds) of the 9 men on a team are as follows:
120 180 185 200 210 210 215 215 215
Find the 5-number summary and draw a box-and-whisker plot for this data. Is the coxswain who weighs 120 lbs. an outlier?
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Jan 19 | Martin Luther King day - no class | |
| Wed, Jan 21 | 2.1.4 | Standard deviation |
| Fri, Jan 23 | 4.1 | Normal distribution |
Today we talked about robust statistics such as the median and IQR that are not affected by outliers and skew. We also introduced the standard deviation. We did this one example of a standard deviation calculation by hand, but you won’t ever have to do that again in this class.
11 students just completed a nursing program. Here is the number of years it took each student to complete the program. Find the standard deviation of these numbers.
3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 6From now on we will just use software to find standard deviation. In
a spreadsheet (Excel or Google Sheets) you can use the
=STDEV() function.
Which of the following data sets has the largest standard deviation?
We finished by looking at some examples of histograms that have a shape that looks roughly like a bell. This is a very common pattern in nature that is called the normal distribution.
The normal distribution is a mathematical model for data with a histogram that is shaped like a bell. The model has the following features:
The normal distribution is a theoretical model that doesn’t have to perfectly match the data to be useful. We use Greek letters and for the theoretical mean and standard deviation of the normal distribution to distinguish them from the sample mean and standard deviation of our data which probably won’t follow the theoretical model perfectly.
We talked about z-values and the 68-95-99.7 rule.
We also did these exercises before the workshop.
In 2020, Farmville got 61 inches of rain total (making 2020 the second wettest year on record). How many standard deviations is this above average?
The average high temperature in Anchorage, AK in January is 21 degrees Fahrenheit, with standard deviation 10. The average high temperature in Honolulu, HI in January is 80°F with σ = 8°F. In which city would it be more unusual to have a high temperature of 57°F in January?
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Jan 26 | 4.1.5 | 68-95-99.7 rule |
| Wed, Jan 28 | 4.1.4 | Normal distribution computations |
| Fri, Jan 30 | 2.1, 8.1 | Scatterplots and correlation |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Feb 2 | 8.2 | Least squares regression introduction |
| Wed, Feb 4 | 8.2 | Least squares regression practice |
| Fri, Feb 6 | 1.3 | Sampling: populations and samples |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Feb 9 | 1.3 | Bias versus random error |
| Wed, Feb 11 | Review | |
| Fri, Feb 13 | Midterm 1 |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Feb 16 | 1.4 | Randomized controlled experiments |
| Wed, Feb 18 | 3.1 | Defining probability |
| Fri, Feb 20 | 3.1 | Multiplication and addition rules |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Feb 23 | 3.4 | Weighted averages & expected value |
| Wed, Feb 25 | 3.4 | Random variables |
| Fri, Feb 27 | 7.1 | Sampling distributions |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Mar 2 | 5.1 | Sampling distributions for proportions |
| Wed, Mar 4 | 5.2 | Confidence intervals for a proportion |
| Fri, Mar 6 | 5.2 | Confidence intervals for a proportion - con’d |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Mar 16 | 5.3 | Hypothesis testing for a proportion |
| Wed, Mar 18 | Review | |
| Fri, Mar 20 | Midterm 2 |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Mar 23 | 6.1 | Inference for a single proportion |
| Wed, Mar 25 | 5.3.3 | Decision errors |
| Fri, Mar 27 | 6.2 | Difference of two proportions (hypothesis tests) |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Mar 30 | 6.2.3 | Difference of two proportions (confidence intervals) |
| Wed, Apr 1 | 7.1 | Introducing the t-distribution |
| Fri, Apr 3 | 7.1.4 | One sample t-confidence intervals |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Apr 6 | 7.2 | Paired data |
| Wed, Apr 8 | 7.3 | Difference of two means |
| Fri, Apr 10 | 7.3 | Difference of two means - con’d |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Apr 13 | 7.4 | Statistical power |
| Wed, Apr 15 | Review | |
| Fri, Apr 17 | Midterm 3 |
| Day | Section | Topic |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Apr 20 | 6.3 | Chi-squared statistic |
| Wed, Apr 22 | 6.4 | Testing association with chi-squared |
| Fri, Apr 24 | Choosing the right technique | |
| Mon, Apr 27 | Last day, recap & review |